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Saturday Morning News Roundup

Saturday Morning News Roundup

In the aftermath of not just Barack Obama’s victory but what was a solid night for progressives in general, some conservatives have simply lost their minds. Take for example the CEO of Applebee’s. According to Mr. Zane Tankel, ObamaCare will be so costly for the restaurant that they’ll probably have to shrink their workforce and they won’t be building any more restaurants.

One of the latest myths that Republicans are conjuring up is that it is all Hurricane Sandy’s fault. If it weren’t for an act of God, Mitt Romney would have won the election. Republicans began to trot this line of reasoning out shortly before the election. Here’s what Nate Silver had to say

When the hurricane made landfall in New Jersey on Oct. 29, Mr. Obama’s chances of winning re-election were 73 percent in the FiveThirtyEight forecast. Since then, his chances have risen to 86 percent, close to his highs on the year.

But, while the storm and the response to it may account for some of Mr. Obama’s gains, it assuredly does not reflect the whole of the story.

Mr. Obama had already been rebounding in the polls, slowly but steadily, from his lows in early October — in contrast to a common narrative in the news media that contended, without much evidence, that Mr. Romney still had the momentum in the race.

As the above graph clearly shows, Mitt Romney did have some momentum after the first debate. Joe Biden’s strong performance in the vice presidential debate put a halt to that momentum. The second and third presidential debate were clearly won by Barack Obama. Obama was undoubtedly ahead in the polls by the time hurricane Sandy hit. The other thing, and almost more importantly, is that it really didn’t matter what was happening in the national polls. Instead, the important thing was what was going on in Virginia, Ohio, Colorado and the other battleground states. The conservatives don’t want to talk about that. Mitt Romney never moved the needle in places like Ohio.

Just because Allen West has lost his re-election bid in Florida doesn’t mean that he is crazy. It doesn’t mean that he will go away.

By |2013-11-03T18:19:41-04:00November 10th, 2012|Elections, Party Politics|Comments Off on Saturday Morning News Roundup

Monday Morning News Roundup

Monday Morning News Roundup

Do you remember when conservatives were pushing the notion that the HPV vaccine would cause promiscuity? Sure, the idea was stupid. A vaccine that is designed to prevent cancer but somehow causes women to be more promiscuous is simply crazy. Well, a study validates the fact that the vaccine is not associated with increased promiscuity.

So, yesterday I pointed out that the Houston Texans and the San Francisco 49ers were probably the second and third best teams in the NFL. Yesterday, both teams went out of their way to try to prove me wrong. They both lost. Neither team looked good in their loss. Hell, even the Atlanta Falcons, which I considered probably the best team in the NFL, struggled to get a victory. That tells you what I know.

Even Evil Knievel would be envious of this stunt. Wow. (8 million folks viewed it live on the internet.)

Obama has taken a lead, again, in national polls. Again, I would emphasize, the only poll that really counts is the one that takes place on a Tuesday in November.

Paul Ryan doesn’t even know his own plan’s defense numbers… or he is lying, again. “So we’re saying don’t cut the military by a trillion dollars,” Ryan said. “Not increase it by a trillion, don’t cut it by a trillion dollars.” Oops. This is wrong. They (Romney-Ryan) are increasing the military budget by $2 trillion over 10 years.

Once again, I would like to look at Mitt Romney‘s foreign-policy speech at VMI. Mitt Romney said, “finally, I will recommit America to the goal of a democratic, prosperous Palestinian state living side by side in peace and security with the Jewish state of Israel.” That is very nice. I would like peace on earth and good will towards men and women. I would like dogs and cats to be able to live in peace and harmony. My question to Mitt Romney is how? How do you make this happen? How do you force democracy on the Palestinian state? As far as I know, there is no groundswell of democracy in Palestine. Instead, the Bush administration pushed this idea that elections equal Jeffersonian democracy and unfortunately that’s not what happened. Instead, the terrorist group Hamas won by a landslide. So, exactly how does Mitt Romney propose changing this? I don’t see how any steely-eyed, square-jawed type of diplomacy is going to fix the situation. This foreign-policy speech at VMI seems to be nothing more than a pipe dream.

By |2012-10-15T21:24:39-04:00October 15th, 2012|Elections, Israel, NFL, Religion|Comments Off on Monday Morning News Roundup

Sunday Morning News Roundup

  • Yesterday, Romper Room (this used to be an old kid show that aired in the mid-’50s thru the mid-’90’s, but I like it has a nickname for the mainstream media) spent a lot of time talking about the Ames straw poll in Iowa. First of all, several things about the Ames straw poll are clear. This straw poll sort of predicts who’s going to win the Iowa caucus. It has approximately a 58% predicting power. Winning Iowa does not guarantee winning the national nomination. So, I guess, congratulations are in order for Michele Bachmann. She had a narrow victory in the straw poll over Ron Paul.

From CNN:

1. Michele Bachmann: 4823 votes
2. Ron Paul: 4671
3. Tim Pawlenty: 2293
4. Rick Santorum: 1657
5. Herman Cain: 1456
6. Mitt Romney: 567
7. Newt Gingrich: 385
8. Jon Huntsman 69
9. Thaddeus McCotter: 35

Tim Pawlenty throws in the towel

  • Former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty was a longshot, to say the least. He had a plainness that is common in the Midwest. Unfortunately, it makes it hard for you to get noticed. He’s been polling terribly in national polls and did terrible in the Ames straw poll. Remember that he’s been running for president for more than two years. He simply never got traction because he never seemed to go after the Tea Party vote. He tried to present himself as sane and rational. In the Republican debate, he went after Michele Bachmann (the opposite of sane and rational). He tried to point out her obvious hypocrisy but it was too little, too late. He is out of money. His campaign is out of steam and he has thrown in the towel.
  • Finally, the Ames straw poll does tell us a little bit about the Republican field. There are several candidates who are not getting any traction whatsoever. Rick Santorum, Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich all together barely broke 20%. Newt Gingrich has spent a lot of time in Iowa and for him to come out with 2.3% of the vote is awful. I don’t think he’s running for president. I don’t think he is running for vice president. I think he’s running to convince Republican donors that he is still relevant. I have no idea why Rick Santorum is running. He’s going to do poorly in Iowa. Can he do better in New Hampshire? Can he do better in the bellwether state, South Carolina? As long as Michele Bachmann remains in the race, I don’t see how Rick Santorum is going to get any traction. They’re both scrambling after the far right and the Tea Party. She grabs the spotlight, which means that he is left standing in the dark. It seems to me that Herman Cain is running for 2016. I think he will stay in the race in spite of his poor showing. I suspect that he will limp through New Hampshire and South Carolina. He will begin to spend more more of his own money. When you’re rich, you can do a practice run for the White House that costs you $5-$10 million.
  • Texas Governor Rick Perry has gotten into the race. He announced in the friendly southern state of South Carolina. While his speech was a yawn-fest (see video below), Rick Perry has proven to be a savvy politician in Texas. Whether you like him or not, whether you think that he is stupid or not, this guy knows how to press the flesh. Popular Texas Senator Kay Bailey Hutchinson tried to charm Texas voters into voting for her and not Rick Perry in the last gubernatorial election and well, Rick Perry is still governor. I think that Rick Perry has positioned himself as friendly with the Tea Party crowd and also friendly with the Republican establishment. This should make Michele Bachmann and Mitt Romney extremely nervous.

This is a video of Rick Perry announcing that he’s running for president. Warning, he seems to have the ability to link one cliché after another, after another, effortlessly. If you seize after you heard more than three or four clichés in a row, take your medication before watching this video:

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Let me say this, there’s been some discussion in the media (here, here and here) about some fallout between Rick Perry and George W. Bush. I don’t know whether there has or hasn’t been a fallout. I do know that Rick Perry owes his political career to George W. Bush. I do know that Rick Perry is using the George W. Bush playbook for politics. When George W. Bush lost his election for the House of Representatives, his take-home lesson was never to let anyone out “God” him. Since that election, George W. Bush never lost the evangelical Christians. Rick Perry’s prayer rally in Houston, Texas was his attempt to shore up the evangelical Christian vote. He tried to make the prayer rally about Christianity. He tried to appear nonpartisan. Rick Perry is using George W. Bush’s political playbook. In the media, he’s going to try to distance himself from the former president. In reality, he has completely and totally embraced his philosophy. Why shouldn’t he? His philosophy continues to work, at least in Texas.

By |2011-08-14T11:40:56-04:00August 14th, 2011|Elections, Media|Comments Off on Sunday Morning News Roundup
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