I’m not sure where the Obama administration is on jobs. I’m not feeling the push to get more jobs legislation through Congress. I really don’t care if Congress can stomach any more jobs bills. It is clear that America needs more jobs. Sitting back and chillin’ ain’t an option.
From HuffPo:
Even though the unemployment rate remained flat at 9.6 percent in September, the labor market would now need to add a total of about 11.5 million jobs to restore the pre-recession rate, according to analysis from Heidi Shierholz, an economist with the Economic Policy Institute.
The economy lost about 95,000 jobs last month, including temporary Census workers. Not including Census positions, roughly 18,000 jobs were lost, as the private sector addition of 64,000 jobs couldn’t offset the 83,000 jobs cut by state and local governments, whose unusually severe deficits have lead analyst Meredith Whitney to predict that the next major financial crisis will come from municipal debt defaults. The state and local cuts included 58,000 teaching jobs.
The true numbers could be even worse. As HuffPost’s Shahien Nasiripour notes, the reported numbers of jobs lost in July and August were revised up after the initial reports.
According to Shierholz’s analysis, the economy is down about 8.1 million jobs from where it was when the recession began, in December 2007. Considering population growth, the economy should have added 3.4 million jobs during the recession, Shierholz notes. To fully recover, the country would need to add 11.5 million jobs.
From EPI:
Labor Force
The labor force increased by 48,000 in September, leaving the labor force participation rate unchanged at 64.7%. The labor force participation rate is still far below its prerecession level of 66.0% in December 2007, so the pool of “missing workers,” that is, workers who dropped out of (or didn’t enter) the labor force during the downturn, remains large. We can estimate its size in the following way. The labor force should have increased by around 3.8 million workers from December 2007 to September 2010 given working-age population growth over this period, but instead it grew by 289,000. This means that the pool of missing workers now numbers around 3.5 million. None of these workers are currently reflected in the official unemployment count, but as they enter or re-enter the labor force in search of work, this will contribute to keeping the unemployment rate high.
Long-term unemployment
The share of unemployed workers who have been unemployed for over six months dropped from 42% to 41.7% in September. This improvement likely reflects workers dropping out of the labor force after exhausting unemployment insurance benefits. Despite this, the long-term unemployed share remains the seventh-highest on record, and there are still 6.1 million workers who have been unemployed for longer than six months. These dramatic figures are unsurprising given that there are still 4.6 unemployed workers per available job. The median, or typical, unemployment spell rose from 19.9 to 20.4 weeks, and the average unemployment spell dropped from 33.6 to 33.3 weeks.
Industry sectors
All of the gains in private-sector jobs were in service-providing industries—service-producing industries added 86,000 jobs while goods-producing industries lost 22,000 jobs. Restaurants and bars added 33,900 jobs, one real bright spot. Health care added 23,900 jobs, on par with what it added in the prior three months. Temporary help services added 16,900, close to what it added in August. Retail trade added 5,700 in September, an improvement over its performance in the last four months, in which it averaged a loss of 3,200.
Construction lost 21,000 jobs, after adding an average of 7,000 jobs a month over the prior three months. Manufacturing lost 6,000 jobs in September, after adding an average of 18,000 a month for the first eight months of the year. September’s loss was all in non-durable goods.
In the public sector, aside from changes in temporary Census jobs, the shedding of jobs at the state and local level remains an ongoing drag on employment growth. In September, state and local governments shed 83,000 jobs (-7,000 state, -76,000 local). The pain of the state and local budget problems are clear in these numbers: of the 83,000 state and local jobs lost, 58,000 were in education, as teachers and other education workers were not called back for the new school year. Since their peak in September 2008, state and local governments have shed 410,000 jobs (-57,000 state, -353,000 local). (more…)
Expect GREAT news on numbers of jobs the week before the election (to be revised downward the following month of course).
What is interesting is the fact they were advertising that 95,000 government jobs were cut. The private Sector created 65,000. Isn't a job a job. So that means 95,000 more people on unemployment. It maybe a government job but since they were people paying rent, food, and TAXES. I wonder why people celebrate when those people are now unemployed.
I think that sometimes the reason unemployment claims go up is for the floods back east. The gulf coast workers still not up to par but soon. The other natural disasters instead of just loosing jobs. They are jobs on hold.
All they preach in Utah is no more spending and they are going to create jobs. But they don't say where they are going to get or create the jobs. Tax cuts don't help companies hire workers. They need to make the banks pay interest on the money they are borrowing from the feds. Then they will loan it out to the companies instead of sitting on it.
Wall Street is suppose to get 50% more in bonuses this year than last and last year was a record year.
The infrastructure money is being spent. All you have to do is look around and see. Any road work being done in your area? I know we have doubled our workforce due to the replacement of water treatment plants equipment around the county. You need to ask your governor to make sure the federal money is being spent correctly.
But what is interesting is when something goes wrong the conservatives have their hands out to the feds for money. But then they preach to stop the spending. Then don't put your hand out.
I don't think so. Job numbers come out on the first Friday of every month. They are what they are.
Hello? Did you read the article you posted?
They can and do 'revise' these numbers weeks afterward.
I like the post in the NYT http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/11/opinion/11krugman.html?_r=1&ref=paulkrugman
I’ve been out of work for three months on Friday and I’m scared to death. If I don’t get a job soon I’ll kill myself rather than lose my house.
Diane – I hope that you do find a job. I’m sorry that it has been so bad for you.