How do you count the popular vote? We’ve been hearing for months from the Hillary Clinton campaign that she is ahead in the popular vote. According to the blog 538, there are over 900 different ways to count the popular vote. All of them can be argued to be legitimately “correct.” He has included an excellent Excel table so that you can come up with your own permutations. Do you count Florida yes or no? If you count Florida to count them at 100% or 50%? The same with Michigan. With the added caveat of what do you do with the uncommitted votes — don’t tell them, count them for Obama or a portion according to the exit polls. Do you count Puerto Rico and other territories? Do you count the Texas Caucus? Do you count advisory primaries? Finally, do you use caucus vote estimates or do you blow off caucuses completely.
If you use caucus votes estimates, you ignore the Texas Caucus results much account Puerto Rico in the territories, exclude Michigan uncommitteds, exclude Michigan and count Florida at 100%, Barack Obama is up by more than 100,000 votes.