Economy

A Call for Economic Action

Posted on: May 8th, 2013 by ecthompsonmd 2 Comments

 

economy

Over the last several years, I've really tried to focus my blog away from softer, feel-good issues and try to focus on the economy. I felt that by studying the economy and economic principles, I could make some sense out of our political decisions. So, with the election of Barack Obama I began to write more and more about a stimulus package. The more I read, the more it seemed that thoughtful decisions regarding the stimulus were being thrown out the window in favor of political expediency. Almost as soon as the stimulus package was passed, backlash over "government spending" started. All of the sudden, government spending became a bad idea. The fact that the government spending aimed to help Americans didn't matter. This was bad.

Slowly, a tidal wave of austerity began to sweep through Washington and across the country. It is really unclear to me why everybody became convinced that the best way to fix the economy was to cut government spending. Cutting government spending was supposed to be better than the Lone Ranger's silver bullet. Everything was going to be better once we were able to simply cut government spending. Consumer confidence would soar. Everyone would be happy.

Over the last 24 months we've not seen any of the great benefits that were supposed to come from austerity. The unemployment rate is still unacceptably high. Businesses are making money, but they're not hiring. We've seen economists singled out by conservatives as geniuses only to find out that their data were flawed and their conclusions were wrong. We've seen European austerity measures completely and totally embraced and we have seen no true economic growth. If anything, we've seen economic contraction.

We need a new New Deal. We need an economy that is going to work for all of us. We need an economy that incentivizes those who work hard. We need an economy that doesn't take advantage of those who are undereducated. We simply need a better economy.

Friday Afternoon News Roundup

Posted on: May 3rd, 2013 by ecthompsonmd No Comments

 

Friday Afternoon News Roundup

Remember that Barack Obama is a communist. Or did they say he was a socialist? Whatever. He is bad for business. The Dow Jones industrial average, however, briefly topped 15,000 for the first time ever.

The new job numbers are out for April. The unemployment rate is 7.5%. The economy gained 165,000 jobs in April. The Economic Policy Institute has more.

As long as I'm talking about the economy, I saw this interesting bit of data about home prices skyrocketing in Las Vegas.

For some reason (and maybe you have to be a Conservative to understand it) Conservatives continue to jump up and down about Benghazi. Fox News continues to try to make this into some Watergate scandal, but there's no therethere.

One of the cool things about tracking down the Boston Marathon bombers is that they stole a Mercedes ML 350 SUV with mbrace technology. This made the car incredibly easy to track and allowed the Boston police department to close in on the suspects. Kind of cool.... Read More →

Good News and Bad News

Posted on: April 30th, 2013 by ecthompsonmd No Comments

 

Good News and Bad News

It is nice to know that I am on the side of those who argued that a decrease in spending (government spending) was bad for the economy. It is nice to know that I was right. No, I'm not some high-powered economist. I would like to think that I'm someone who sits back and looks at most of the available data and tries to come to some logical conclusion. It would be nice to say that the economy of the United States, or that the world for that matter, is based on some grand moral play. When people do bad things, like overspending, they will get punished for it. Unfortunately, the economy doesn't work like that. Sometimes those who make the most reckless and thoughtless economic gambles aren't risking their own money. They're risking yours.

This is a convoluted way of saying austerity has failed. There was that one academic study that conservatives waved around which turned out to be incredibly flawed. It was so flawed, in fact, that a grad student was easily able to show that their data didn't make any sense. So, where does that leave us? Austerity doesn't work. The American economy is stagnant secondary to the sequester (Austerity 2.0), many of the European countries that embraced austerity (Ireland, Spain, et al) are "enjoying" pain without gain. Where does that leave us? In my opinion, the answer is simple. We need government spending. This is the good news. The bad news is that US lawmakers haven't figured out that they are punishing the American people for no good reason.

On another note, the weakness of Democrats sometimes makes me want to vomit, right here, right on my keyboard. The Democrats made their argument over how bad the sequester was going to be. They rained all of this negativity about the sequester and what an absolutely terrible idea it was. They were right. Yet, the Republicans talked nothing but happy talk. Conservatives said that we would notice nothing with the sequester. Slashing government spending would be no big deal. No one would notice. So, for the first several weeks/months of the sequester, Republicans looked like they were right. There appeared to be no specific bad side effects to these massive government spending cuts. We then started seeing long lines at airports because of furloughed air-traffic controllers. Suddenly, Congress sprung into action. The Democrats caved. Instead of standing strong and clearly articulating to the American people that this is exactly what they were talking about, the Democrats allowed the Republicans to craft legislation to carve out an exception to the sequester. What the hell? All the Democrats had to do, in my opinion, was to stand up and point out that this is a perfect example of the consequences we warned the American people about. This is the sequester. The Democrats should have proposed only two options, repeal the sequester totally or continue to embrace it. Instead, they've allowed to carve it out. This is an excellent example of how to lose an argument even when you're right.

The good news is that I was right on austerity. Austerity doesn't work in this situation. The bad news is that the Democrats caved on the sequester.